Coronavirus York updates: 1st July 2022

Future reports

This is the last daily coronavirus report. The Government has announced that it will update figures only weekly in future. Given that infection rates have been rising steadily over the last 4 weeks many may feel that more regular updates should have continued at least until case numbers start to fall again. But we are where we are.

We hope to publish our next Coronavirus update on Wednesday 13th July 2022 at around 5:00pm

Hospitals and deaths. There have been no additional fatalities. The number of  COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has risen to 112. The number in the ICU is now 3. 

Two more deaths of York residents are recorded in the latest update of government figures. They cover the week ending 17th June 2022. Both deaths occurred in a hospital. They bring the cumulative toll up to 460. 

Test results The number of cases in the City has reduced by 4 to 482. The infection rate is 228.41. The latest test results suggest that the rate will climb above 250 next week. 

In York around 25% of cases are now reinfections. Around 70% of positive tests are being recorded in the  under 60 age group.

Neighbourhoods The highest infection rate continues to be found in Woodthorpe/Acomb Park/Foxwood South (363.8) . The lowest is in Tang Hall (71.2) – the first reading below 100 for a week.

Tests 612 “lateral flow” tests were recorded yesterday

Vaccinations 6 third dose booster jabs were completed yesterday. A total of 5,770 York residents aged 12-15 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 68.9% of the estimated (12-15) population of York. 4,161 residents aged 12-15 have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 49.7% of the estimated (12-15) population of York. A total of 2,520 residents aged 5-11 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 16.8% of the estimated (5-11) population of York.

Trends

York Council open data report

The Council has updated its coronavirus report which is published on the “open data” web site. It is reproduced below

The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 01.07.22. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

ONS Covid Infection Survey

With fewer tests being carried out, the 7 day case rate, used in isolation, is a less reliable indicator of the level of covid infection in the local population. Therefore the estimates for York from the ONS Covid Infection Survey are also presented to provide a more balanced picture. For the period 12.6.22 to 18.6.22 it is estimated that 2.86% of York’s population (about 1 in 35) would test positive for Covid-19. This represents an increase from the previous estimate of 2.09% (about 1 in 50) for the period 5.6.22 to 11.6.22.

People with Covid Symptoms

• As at 30.6.22, the Covid Symptom App estimates 4,205 people per 100,000 (or 4.21%) in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 1,753 people).

Diagnosed cases / episodes

• As at 30.6.22 CYC residents have had a total 67,469 covid episodes since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 31,974 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (33,818) and regional (33,443) averages.

• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the number of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (25.6.22) is Red.

• The provisional rate of new Covid episodes per 100,000 of population for the period 22.6.22 to 28.6.22 in York is 237 (500 episodes). (Using data published on Gov.uk on 30.6.22).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid episodes per 100,000 of population for the period 19.6.22 to 25.6.22 in York was 230.3 (486 episodes). The national and regional averages at this date were 199.3 and 167.2 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 30.6.22).

• York is currently ranked 126th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 19.6.22 to 25.6.22 for people aged 60+ in York was 280.5 (140 cases). The national and regional averages were 235.5 and 197.2 respectively.

• Case rates in York are currently highest in the following age ranges: 60-64 (371 per 100,000); 45-49 (369); 35-39 (320) and 50-54 (308).

• As at 23.6.22 the latest 14 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 9.3%. The national and regional averages are 5.3% and 6.7% respectively.

• As at 23.6.22, the latest 14 day positivity rate in York (all Pillar 2 tests) was 19.0%. The national and regional averages are 7.6% and 9.8% respectively.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 24.6.22 there were 46 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General/Acute beds. The peak number was 158 on 28.3.22.

• As at 24.6.22 there were 2 confirmed Covid-19 patients in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The peak number for people in ITU was 19 on 10.5.20.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 24.6.22 was estimated to be in the range 1.1 to 1.3.

Variants

For cases in York with a specimen date between 1st May 2022 and 23rd June 2022, the estimated percentage breakdown by variants of concern (VOCs) is as follows:

• VOC-21NOV-01(Omicron(B.1.1.529) sub-lineage BA.1: 1.11% of cases

• VOC-22JAN-01 (Omicron (B.1.1.529) sub-lineage BA.2: 75.76%

• VOC-22APR-03 (Omicron (B.1.1.529) sub-lineage BA.4: 7.78%

• VOC-22APR-04 (Omicron (B.1.1.529) sub-lineage BA.5: 13.33%

• Undetermined – 2.22%

Source: PHE Covid-19 Situational Awareness Explorer.

Vaccinations

Vaccinations for People aged 16+ (1st dose, 2nd dose and Booster)

• As at 28.6.22 a total of 159,460 CYC residents aged 16+ have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 89.4% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

• As at 28.6.22 a total of 153,551 CYC residents aged 16+ have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 86.1% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

• As at 28.6.22 a total of 126,607 CYC residents aged 16+ have received the booster vaccine. This represents 71.0% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

Vaccinations for People aged 12-15 (1st and 2nd dose)

• As at 28.6.22 a total of 5,770 CYC residents aged 12-15 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 68.9% of the estimated (12-15) population of York.

• As at 28.6.22 a total of 4,161 CYC residents aged 12-15 have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 49.7% of the estimated (12-15) population of York.

Vaccinations for People aged 5-11 (1st dose)

• As at 28.6.22 a total of 2,520 CYC residents aged 5-11 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 16.8% of the estimated (5-11) population of York.

Source: PHE Covid-19 Situational Awareness Explorer.

Deaths

Two key sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data provides a breakdown by age and gender. For both data sources a death from Covid-19 is said to have occurred when Covid-19 has been recorded on the death certificate. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS Weekly data: In the most recent period (2022 Week 24: 11.6.22 to 17.6.22) 1 Covid-19 death was recorded as having occurred for CYC residents. In weeks 23, 22 and 21 there had been 0, 1 and 1 deaths respectively. Please note that due to lags in death registration, weekly totals are subject to revision.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 17thJune 2022 and registered up to 25th June 2022, 506 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (314 in hospital, 148 in care homes, 36 at home/elsewhere and 8 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 239.8 which is lower than the national average of 299.4

Source: ONS – Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending 17 June 2022. Released 28.6.22.

• Age / Gender breakdown (using registrar data): The average age of the CYC residents who died was 81.5, with an age range of 30-104. 77.5% of the CYC residents who died were aged 75+. 49% of the CYC residents who died were male.

Coronavirus York updates: 29th June 2022

Hospitals and deaths One more hospital death. It occurred yesterday (28/7/22) and brings the cumulative toll up to 965. The number of hospital patients has risen to 100. 

Test results The number of cases in the City has increased  by 7 to 482. The infection rate has risen to 228.41. It is expected to remain at around this level for the rest of the week. 

Neighbourhoods The highest infection rate is recorded in the Woodthorpe/Acomb Park/Foxwood South (363.8) neighbourhood. The lowest can currently be found in Tang Hall (133.0). 

Tests 583 “lateral flow” tests were completed yesterday.

Vaccinations 32 third dose booster jabs were completed yesterday. 

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 28th June 2022

Hospitals and deaths There have been no further deaths. The number of COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has increased to 99. This is the highest figure recorded since 11th May but it is still far short of the peak of 291 patients posted on 30th March.

Test results The number of cases in the City has increased by 10 to 475.  The infection rate has risen to 225.10, but remains below the level seen at this time last summer (232.2)  The rate of increase also appears to be slowing. 

Neighbourhoods. The highest infection rate can now be found in Woodthorpe/Acomb Park/Foxwood South (331.7). The lowest is in Heworth North/Stockton (144.7) 

Tests. 698 “lateral flow” tests were completed yesterday. The number of tests being undertaken is continuing to grow.

Vaccinations 32 third dose booster jabs were completed yesterday. 67.4% of residents have now had at least 3 jabs. 

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 27th June 2022

Hospitals and deaths There has been one further hospital death. It occurred on Thursday and brings the cumulative toll up to 964. The number of COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has risen to 90 over the weekend.  Two patients remain in the ICU.

Test results The number of cases in the City has increased to 465.  The infection rate has risen to 220.35. It is expected to peak slightly below 230 later in the week. The infection rate, although still rising, is not increasing as quickly as was seen during the equivalent period in June 2021. 

Neighbourhoods The majority of neighbourhoods now have an above average infection rate. The highest can be found in  Dunnington/Elvington/Wheldrake (341.0) and the lowest in Heworth North/Stockton (113.7)

Tests There has been a significant increase in the numbers testing positive. Latest figure is 10.6% positive test results  

Vaccinations There has been a small increase in the numbers of vaccinated residents in each neighbourhood

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 24th June 2022

Hospitals and deaths. One more hospital death. It occurred on Wednesday and brings the cumulative toll up to 963. There have been no further deaths of York residents with the cumulative total remaining at 458.  Hospital patient numbers remain stable 

Test results The number of cases in the City has increased by 18 to 419. The infection rate has risen to 198.56. When the figures are next updated on Monday, the rate is forecast to be around 218. The rate a year ago (23/6/22) was 232.2  and rising sharply. 

Neighbourhoods 300 infection rate level exceeded in Poppleton/Rufforth/Askhams (316.9). This is the first neighbourhood to exceed 300 during the current spike in infection rates. The lowest infection level can currently be found on Heworth North/Stockton (113.7)

Tests 500 “lateral flow” tests were completed yesterday

Vaccinations. Only 2 booster jabs were completed yesterday

Trends

Future stats

The government has announced that, from Friday 1 July 2022, COVID-19 statistics will move to weekly reporting. The last daily update will be on Friday 1 July 2022. Weekly updates will be published every Wednesday at 4pm commencing on 6 July 2022.

Coronavirus York updates: 23rd June 2022

Hospitals and deaths There have been no further fatalities. Hospital patient numbers are stable at  87. The number in the ICU has reduced to two. 

Test results The number of cases in the City has risen by 23 to 401. The most recent set of test results (22/6/22) show that 28% of the positives were reinfections. That is the highest recorded reinfection rate.. The infection rate has risen to 190.03. The trend remains upward.

Neighbourhoods There are now two neighbourhoods with infection rates below the 100 benchmark . They are New Earswick (86.2) and Heworth North/Stockton (93.1). The highest rate can be found in Huntington (293.8).

Tests 465 “lateral flow” tests were completed yesterday. The number of tests being recorded continues to increase. 

Vaccinations 60 third dose booster jabs were completed yesterday

Trends

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Coronavirus York updates: 22nd June 2022

Hospitals and deaths The number of COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has climbed to 87. This is the highest level seen since 13th May. There are three patients in the ICU. There have been no additional fatalities. 

Test results The number of cases in the City has risen by 18 to 378.The infection rate has risen to 179.13. It is expected to top 200 later this week. In the equivalent period in 2021, the infection rate also rose sharply reaching 208.98 on 22nd June 2021. It went on to peak at 519.85 on 16th July before then gradually falling back. 

Neighbourhoods  The neighbourhood with the highest infection rate is now Huntington (249.7)  The area with the lowest rate is New Earswick (120.6) 

Tests 539 “lateral flow” tests were recorded yesterday (21/6/22)

Vaccinations 33 booster jabs were completed yesterday (21/6/22). 85.2% of the York population have now had at least one COVID vaccination

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 21st June 2022

Hospitals and deaths There have been two more hospital deaths. One occurred on Friday and the other yesterday (Monday) They bring the cumulative toll up to 962. Patient numbers are stable. 

Test results The number of cases in the City has risen by 14 to 360.  Between 10% and 20% of cases are reinfections (the table below has been amended to include the split). The infection rate has risen to 170.6. It continues to trend upwards. It remains higher than the regional and national rates.

Neighbourhoods There are now no neighbourhoods with an infection rate below 100.  The highest rate can be found in Bishopthorpe/Copmanthorpe (241.3). The lowest is in New Earswick (103.4)

Tests 660 people recorded “lateral flow” test results yesterday. The number of tests being completed is rising. 

Vaccinations 48 third dose booster jabs were completed yesterday.

Trends

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Coronavirus York updates: 20th June 2022

Hospitals and deaths There have been no further deaths. The number of COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has increased to 77. This is the highest count since 23rd May 2022. There are now 2 patients in intensive care.

Test results The infection rate continues to rise and has now reached 163.97. On current trends it will top 200 before the end of the week.  The 64 positive results  recorded on Wednesday 15th June was the highest individual day’s figure recorded since 20th April. The number of cases in the City is now 346.

The ;latest government analysis shows that around 80% of cases are first infections with the remainder being reinfections.

The York infection rate (164) remains above the regional (108) and national (133) rates. 

Neighbourhoods It has taken a long time, but in all neighbourhoods in York at least 50% of residents have now had their third “booster” jab. The final area to pass the milestone was central York. 

Vaccinations 7 booster jabs were completed yesterday. 67.2% of the York population have now had a third dose “booster” vaccination. 

Tests 491 PCR tests were completed during the week ending 13th June 2022. Of these 7.9% were positive. This compares to a  positivity rate of 6.3% found during the previous week. The positivity rate has doubled over 7 days. In addition 408 “lateral flow” tests were recorded on  19th June 2022

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 17th June 2022

Hospitals and deaths There has been one additional death. It occurred yesterday and was the first  fatality recorded since 7th June. Hospital patient numbers are stable. 

Test results The number of cases in the City has increased by 19 to 318. The infection rate has risen to 150.70. It is expected to peak at around 160 over the weekend. There are some very early signs that the rate may then stabilise. The  picture will be clearer when Mondays figures are published. 

Tests 484 “lateral flow” tests were recorded yesterday.

Neighbourhoods Only two neighbourhoods now have an infection rate below 100. They are Haxby and Rawcliffe/Clifton South. The highest rate (277.1) can be found in South Bank/Dringhouses. 

Vaccinations 14 third dose booster jabs were administered yesterday

Trends

Why are infections increasing?

Interesting article from the BBC on the recent increase in COVID infections https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-60913637

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