Coronavirus York updates: 29th September 2022

Hospitals and deaths There has been one further death during the last week. This brings the cumulative toll among York residents up to 501. There are currently 104 COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust. Two are in the ICU.

Cases and infection rates The number of cases in the City has increased to 187. The infection rate has risen to 88.62. It is expected to top 100 for the first time since July when next week’s figures are confirmed. 76% are first infections The rate remains below that seen in both October 2020 & October 2021.  Case numbers are also increasing at both regional and national levels. The infection rate is however increasing more quickly in York. Infection rates are increasing most rapidly in the over 60 age group. 

Neighbourhoods Large increase in case numbers in Dunnington/Elvington/Wheldrake. The infection rate there is now above average at 284.5. This has happened before and was put down then to an outbreak within a local school. Lowest infection rates can now be found in Clifton North & Heworth South/Stockton 

Vaccinations. 15,474 (19.2% of those eligible) autumn booster vaccinations have now been completed 

Tests The percentage of positive results found during PCR tests has been showing a small fall recently and currently stands at 4.4%.

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 22nd September 2022

Hospital patients and deaths The cumulative number of deaths of York residents, from COVID related causes, has now topped 500. COVID+ patients, being cared for by the York Hospital Trust, has risen to  101. This is the highest seen since 4th August. One patient is in the ICU, 

Infection rates and cases The number of cases in the City has risen over during last week from 98 to 122.   The infection rate in York is rising and has reached 57.81. A similar trend was seen in previous years – as educational establishments reopened – although in 2021 the equivalent rate was 169.65. The majority of cases are still first infections (76%) reemphasising the importance of everyone getting a vaccination

Neighbourhoods Only three neighbourhoods now have fewer than 3 cases in each. They are Bishopthorpe/Copmanthorpe, Dunnington/Elvington/Wheldrake & Wigginton. Three neighbourhoods now have an infection rate above 100 –  New Earswick, Poppleton/Rufforth & Osbaldwick

Vaccinations The number of over 50’s who have received the autumn booster vaccination is 8953 (11.1%)

Tests The proportion of people testing positive after a PCR test now stands at 6.0%. The lowest proportion recorded was 3.7% on 22nd August. 

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 15th September 2022

Hospital patients and deaths The deaths of six York residents have been recorded during the last week. They bring the cumulative toll up to 498. The number of COVID+ hospital patients now stands at 86. There is one patient in the ICU. 

Infection rates and cases. There are 98 cases in the City. The infection rate is stable at 46.44. This is lower than was seen at this time last year (217.99). The rate is similar to that seen at the county (54.9), regional (46.0) and national (43.9) levels. 

Neighbourhoods The highest infection rate can be found in New Earswick (137.9) The lowest is in Bishopthorpe/Copmanthorpe (12.1) 

Vaccinations The 50+ autumn booster jab programme has started. So far 3.6% of those eligible in York have been vaccinated. Invitations to be vaccinated are being texted and emailed out by NHSVaccine. In addition, Nimbuscare have said they will be inviting people locally to have COVID and Flu vaccinations when the latter becomes available next week 

Tests. The percentage of positive PCR test results has been edging up recently and now stands at 5.7%

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 8th September 2022

Update The York Council will be discussing COVID related issues at a meeting taking place on 14th September. A copy of the report can be accessed by clicking here

Hospitals and deaths The number of COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust is 85. Three are in the ICU. There have been no COVID-related deaths of York residents during the last week. The cumulative toll is 491. 

Infection rates The number of cases in the City has increased to 114. The infection rate has edged up during the last week and now stands at 54.02.  This is still much lower than was seen at this time last year (275.3) but we are approaching the season when a spike has developed in each of the last two years. This has been put down to the reopening of educational establishments and more indoor activities as the weather changes. Infection rates have also increased at the regional and national levels. 

Neighbourhoods Three neighbourhoods now have an infection rate above 100. The highest rate of increase was seen in South Bank and Driinghouses which now has an infection rate of 113.4. Five neighbourhoods have fewer than 3 cases in each.

Vaccinations There has been a data cleanse on the vaccination figures. Nimbuscare says “This week is the start of our Autumn Covid booster programme, starting with care home staff & residents, as well as health & care staff. Soon we’ll also receive the flu vaccine. Please look out for your invite from Nimbuscare. Where possible we will be trying to offer both jabs”.

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Test results The proportion of positive PCR tests is stable at around 3.8%. The numbers submitting lateral flow test results continue to fall

Council Commentary

From the Open Data website. The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 02.09.22. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• As of 1.9.22, the Covid Symptom App estimates 1,214 people per 100,000 (or 1.2%) in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 1,322 people).

Diagnosed cases/episodes

• As of 31.8.22 CYC residents have had a total of 70,191 covid episodes since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 33,264 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (35,072) and regional (34,590) averages.

• The provisional rate of new Covid episodes per 100,000 of population for the period 23.8.22 to 29.8.22 in York is 40.3 (85 episodes). (Using data published on Gov.uk on 31.8.22).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid episodes per 100,000 of population for the period 20.8.22 to 26.8.22 in York was 43.1 (91 episodes). The national and regional averages at this date were 43.6 and 42.8 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 31.8.22).

• York is currently ranked 85th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7-day rate.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 20.8.22 to 26.8.22 for people aged 60+ in York was 72.1 (36 cases). The national and regional averages were 65.2 and 64.1 respectively.

• Case rates in York are currently highest in the following age ranges: 90+ (188 per 100,000); 85-89 (144) and 60-64 (91)

• As of 26.8.22 the latest 14-day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 6.1%. The national and regional averages are 4.4% and 6.1% respectively.

• As at 26.8.22, the latest 14 day positivity rate in York (all Pillar 2 tests) was 0.3%. The national and regional averages are 3.7% and 2.2% respectively.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 12.8.22 there were 38 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General/Acute beds. The peak number was 158 on 28.3.22.

• As at 12.8.22 there was 1 confirmed Covid-19 patient in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The peak number for people in ITU was 19 on 10.5.20.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 19.8.22 was estimated to be in the range 0.7 to 1.0.

Vaccinations

Vaccinations for People aged 16+ (1st dose, 2nd dose and Booster)

• As at 30.8.22 a total of 158,744 CYC residents aged 16+ have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 89.0% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

• As at 30.8.22 a total of 153,053 CYC residents aged 16+ have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 85.8% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

• As at 30.8.22 a total of 125,822 CYC residents aged 16+ have received the booster vaccine. This represents 70.6% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

Vaccinations for People aged 12-15 (1st and 2nd dose)

• As at 30.8.22 a total of 5,703 CYC residents aged 12-15 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 68.1% of the estimated (12-15) population of York.

• As at 30.8.22 a total of 4,537 CYC residents aged 12-15 have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 54.2% of the estimated (12-15) population of York.

Vaccinations for People aged 5-11 (1st dose)

• As at 30.8.22 a total of 2,833 CYC residents aged 5-11 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 18.9% of the estimated (5-11) population of York.

Source: PHE Covid-19 Situational Awareness Explorer.

Deaths

Two key sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data provides a breakdown by age and gender. For both data sources a death from Covid-19 is said to have occurred when Covid-19 has been recorded on the death certificate. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS Weekly data: In the most recent period (2022 Week 33: 13.8.22 to 19.8.22) 0 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents. In weeks 32, 31 and 30 there had been 0, 0 and 2 deaths respectively. Please note that due to lags in death registration, weekly totals are subject to revision.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 19thAugust 2022 and registered up to 27th August 2022, 524 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (327 in hospital, 149 in care homes, 40 at home/elsewhere and 8 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 248 which is lower than the national average of 308

Source: ONS – Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending 19 August 2022. Released 31.8.22.

• Age / Gender breakdown (using registrar data): The average age of the CYC residents who died was 81.3, with an age range of 30-104. 77.1% of the CYC residents who died were aged 75+. 48.7% of the CYC residents who died were male.

 

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 31st August 2022

Hospitals and patients The number of COVID+ hospital patients has risen to 87. Two are in the ICU. There have been two further deaths of York residents over the last week, bringing the cumulative toll up to 493.

Case numbers The number of cases in the City has fallen to 91. The infection rate is 43.12 and is broadly in line with the rates being seen at regional and national levels. The rate has been stable over the past week. The recorded rate at the end of August 2021 was 273.91. 

Neighbourhoods 10 neighbourhoods now have fewer than 3 cases in each. The highest infection rates can be found in Heworth North/Stockton and New Earswick

Vaccinations No further batches of the AstraZeneca Covid vaccine are due in the UK

Testing The proportion of PCR tests recording positive results has fallen to 3.5%. PCR test numbers remain stable. The number of lateral flow tests being undertaken is falling

 

Trends

Coronavirus York updates- 17th August 2022

Hospitals and deaths There has been one further death of a York resident over the last 7 days. It brings the cumulative toll up to 490. There are currently 68 COVID+ patients being treated by the York Hospital Trust. 2 are in the ICU. This is the lowest number since the middle of June.

Infection rates and case numbers The number of cases in the City has fallen to 167. The infection rate is 79.1. This is the lowest rate seen since 1st June 2022 (69.66). It is now slightly above the regional and national averages but well below the level seen last year (331.7).  77% of recent cases are first infections.

Neighbourhoods Only 6 neighbourhoods now have an infection rate above 100. The highest (172.4 = 10 cases) can be found in New Earswick. The lowest (30.7 = 3 cases) can be found in Heslington/Fulford. 

One neigbourhood, Poppleton/Rufforth/Askham, now has fewer than 3 cases. 

Vaccinations The government has announced this week that a new vaccine has been developed which protects against both the Delta and Omicron variants. It is likely to be administered as a booster jab at the same time as the autumn flu jab. This program may start as soon as the end of September.

Tests The proportion of PCR tests proving positive has fallen below 5% for the first time since the middle of June. 

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 10th August 2022

Hospitals and deaths The cumulative death toll, for COVID related issues. among York residents now stands at 489. This follows two fatalities over the last week. The number of COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has edged up to 97. 

Test results. The number of cases in the City has fallen to 177. The infection rate has fallen to 83.88. This is the first time the rate has been below 100 since 6th June. The rate is lower than was seen on the same day last year (328.4). Around 80% are first  infections.

The infection rate in York is now lower than that being seen at county, regional and national levels. 

Neighbourhoods The majority of neighbourhoods now have infection rates below 100. The highest rate (155.1) can be found in New Earswick. The lowest (35.1) in Heworth South/The Groves.

Tests The latest figures show that of those taking a PCR test 7.3% were found to be COVID+. That is half the rate being found 4 weeks ago.

Vaccination 84.2% of over 75’s have now had their 4th booster jab

Council commentary

The Council has updated its open data COVID commentary . It is reproduced below

The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 05.08.22. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

ONS Covid Infection Survey

The estimates at Local Authority Level have not been updated for a month or so. The note on the ONS Website says: ‘We are temporarily pausing our incidence analysis whilst we transition to our new digital data collection method’. The most recent figures are shown below.

For the period 23.6.22 to 29.6.22 it was estimated that 4.39% of York’s population (about 1 in 25) would test positive for Covid-19. The trend in the modelled percentage of the York population testing positive for Covid-19 since November 2019 is shown in the chart below.

People with Covid Symptoms

• As at 5.8.22, the Covid Symptom App estimates 6,417 people per 100,000 (or 6.41%) in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 1,548 people).

Diagnosed cases / episodes

• As at 3.8.22 CYC residents have had a total 69,710 covid episodes since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 33,036 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (34,380) and regional (34,835) averages.

• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the number of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (1.8.22) is Green.

• The provisional rate of new Covid episodes per 100,000 of population for the period 26.7.22 to 1.8.22 in York is 103.3 (218 episodes). (Using data published on Gov.uk on 3.8.22).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid episodes per 100,000 of population for the period 23.7.22 to 29.7.22 in York was 113.3 (239 episodes). The national and regional averages at this date were 115.2 and 122.3 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 3.8.22).

• York is currently ranked 71st out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 23.7.22 to 29.7.22 for people aged 60+ in York was 170.3 (85 cases). The national and regional averages were 161.3 and 162.7 respectively.

• Case rates in York are currently highest in the following age ranges: 60-64 (326 per 100,000); 40-44 (202) and 50-54 (185)

• As at 28.7.22 the latest 14 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 11.8%. The national and regional averages are 8.6% and 10.6% respectively.

• As at 28.7.22, the latest 14 day positivity rate in York (all Pillar 2 tests) was 6.2%. The national and regional averages are 4.9% and 5.0% respectively.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 29.7.22 there were 67 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General/Acute beds. The peak number was 158 on 28.3.22.

• As at 29.7.22 there was 1 confirmed Covid-19 patient in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The peak number for people in ITU was 19 on 10.5.20.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 22.7.22 was estimated to be in the range 0.9 to 1.2.

Vaccinations

Vaccinations for People aged 16+ (1st dose, 2nd dose and Booster)

• As at 4.8.22 a total of 158,948 CYC residents aged 16+ have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 89.1% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

• As at 4.8.22 a total of 153,218 CYC residents aged 16+ have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 85.9% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

• As at 4.8.22 a total of 126,133 CYC residents aged 16+ have received the booster vaccine. This represents 70.7% of the estimated (16+) population of York.

Vaccinations for People aged 12-15 (1st and 2nd dose)

• As at 4.8.22 a total of 5,766 CYC residents aged 12-15 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 68.8% of the estimated (12-15) population of York.

• As at 4.8.22 a total of 4,500 CYC residents aged 12-15 have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 53.7% of the estimated (12-15) population of York.

Vaccinations for People aged 5-11 (1st dose)

• As at 4.8.22 a total of 2,771 CYC residents aged 5-11 have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 18.1% of the estimated (5-11) population of York.

Source: Local Authority Data Access Platform (LADAP)

Deaths

Two key sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data provides a breakdown by age and gender. For both data sources a death from Covid-19 is said to have occurred when Covid-19 has been recorded on the death certificate. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS Weekly data: In the most recent period (2022 Week 29: 16.7.22 to 22.7.22) 3 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents. In weeks 28, 27 and 26 there had been 3, 2 and 2 deaths respectively. Please note that due to lags in death registration, weekly totals are subject to revision.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 22thJuly 2022 and registered up to 30th July 2022, 519 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (323 in hospital, 149 in care homes, 39 at home/elsewhere and 8 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 246 which is lower than the national average of 304

Source: ONS – Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending22 July 2022. Released 2.8.22.

• Age / Gender breakdown (using registrar data): The average age of the CYC residents who died was 81.5, with an age range of 30-104. 77.5% of the CYC residents who died were aged 75+. 48.8% of the CYC residents who died were male.

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 3rd August 2022

Hospitals and deaths The number of COVID+ patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has fallen to 109. There are no patients in the ICU. The death rate remains stable with about one death being recorded each week

Cases  The number of cases in the City is now 239. The number is around 1/3 of the figure recorded two weeks ago.

The infection rate has fallen to 113.3. That is the lowest level recorded since the beginning of June.

It is also lower than was recorded during the same period in 2021. During August 2021 the infection rate was regularly recorded at over 300. The York rate is also now lower than the regional and national averages

Neighbourhoods 9 neighbourhoods now have an infection rate below 100. The lowest can be found in Fulford/Heslington (51.1) and the highest in Strensall (201.6).

Vaccinations The proportion of people who have had their 3rd dose booster jab is now 67.8%

Tests The number of tests being recorded has remained fairly stable. The proportion of positive results is edging down. 

Trends

Coronavirus York updates: 27th July 2022

Hospitals and deaths: 132 COVID+ positive patients are currently being cared for by the York Hospital Trust. Two are in the ICU. The number of patients has been fairly stable over the last couple of weeks. The cumulative death toll among York residents is now 483.

Cases: The number of cases in the City has fallen to 410. The infection is down to to 194.29. This is the lowest rate seen for over a month. The trend remains downward. The profile continues to reflect that seen during the same period last year. Infection rates are also falling quickly at county, regional and national levels.

Neighbourhoods The City centre (71.8)  has become the first neighbourhood to fall back below the  100 infection rate benchmark. The highest rate can now be found in Bishopthorpe/Copmanthorpe (349.9). There are now no neighbourhoods with a rate above 400.  

Tests; The number of tests being undertaken and the results have remained stable over the last week 

Vaccinations 84.1 of over 75’s  have now had a 4th booster vaccination. Bishopthorpe/Copmanthorpe has become the  first neighbourhood to pass the 80% complete milestone for third dose booster jabs

Trends